Oil prices jump 4% in the wake of Hamas attack on Israel
The conflict between Israel and militant groups in Lebanon, primarily Hezbollah, has raised concerns about potential implications for the oil market. There are fears that the conflict could escalate regionally, particularly if Iran becomes involved. Henning Gloystein, director of energy, climate, and resources at Eurasia Group, expressed concerns about potential supply issues if Iran is drawn into the conflict. Josh Young, CIO of energy investment firm Bison Interests, predicted a significant impact on oil prices if the US were to enforce sanctions on Iranian exports, forecasting a rise of $5 for WTI. Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group, warned that a conflict between Israel and Iran could lead to a $5 to $10 increase in oil prices, given that 40% of global oil exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz. McNally also suggested that if Hezbollah were to become involved, crude prices could rise even higher. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken acknowledged the limited fighting between Hezbollah and Israel but noted that the situation was being closely monitored.
Israel-Hamas live updates: More than 1,100 killed in conflict; Israeli forces' progress taking 'more time than expected'
Israeli troops are still engaged in battle with Hamas on the ground, but progress has been slower than expected, according to a spokesman for the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF). Lieutenant Colonel Richard Hecht said that there are still seven to eight open areas around Gaza where Israeli soldiers are fighting terrorists. Hecht also noted that Hamas fighters may still be infiltrating Israel from Gaza. He stated that Hamas did not provide any warning to civilians before attacking civilian areas, which is known as "knocking the roof" in Israeli terms. Hecht emphasized that this conflict is war, and the scale is different. The IDF had anticipated a quicker advancement in their operations against Hamas but acknowledged that it is taking longer than expected.
Dow futures fall more than 200 points after Hamas attack against Israel
Stock futures fell early Monday as the escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict added geopolitical risk to an already fragile market. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped around 0.8%. The conflict began on Saturday when the militant group Hamas launched an invasion, catching Israel off guard. Rising tensions could lead to increased volatility in a market already grappling with inflation and higher interest rates. Oil prices may see a surge due to the geopolitical uncertainty, as experts predict a potential knee-jerk reaction in the energy market. While neither Israel nor Palestine are significant oil players, their location in a key oil region could have broader implications. In addition, OPEC+ is expected to remain cautious on any moves to expand oil output further. The bond market is closed on Monday for Columbus Day, with an update on interest rates expected on Tuesday. Despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report last week, the three major indexes finished higher as wage growth remained muted, giving investors hope that inflation was cooling.